January 2026 GTA Real Estate Market Update
How the GTA Market Is Shaping Up in 2026
The January 2026 GTA real estate market update gives a clear look at how the year is starting across the Greater Toronto Area. It highlights changes in pricing, sales activity, and buyer behaviour across the region. Using the latest data from TRREB, this update helps explain current market conditions and what they may mean moving forward.
The latest numbers from TRREB, published in the TRREB Market Watch report, help explain buyer behaviour, pricing trends, and overall market direction.
This post breaks down the data in simple terms and explains what it means if you are thinking about buying or selling in the GTA real estate market.
January 2026 GTA Real Estate Market Update Overview
In January 2026, 3,082 homes sold across the GTA. This was 19.3% lower than January 2025. New listings also declined year over year, with 10,774 new listings, down 13.3%.
The average home price in the GTA was $973,289, which is 6.5% lower than last year. The MLS Home Price Index also declined compared to January 2025.
At the same time, inventory increased. Active listings rose by 8.1%, and homes took longer to sell. The average days on market increased to 45 days, up from 37 days last year.
These numbers point to a market that is calmer and more balanced than what buyers and sellers saw in recent years.
Home Prices by Property Type – January 2026 GTA Real Estate Market Update
Price changes varied by home type in January 2026.
Detached homes
The average price was about $1.28 million, down roughly 7% year over year.
Semi-detached homes
The average price was about $946,000, down close to 10%.
Townhomes
The average price was around $820,000, down just over 9%.
Condo apartments
The average price was about $605,000, down nearly 10%.
While prices have adjusted across all categories, performance still varies by neighbourhood. GTA-wide averages do not tell the full story.
What the January 2026 GTA real estate market update means for buyers
For buyers, the January 2026 GTA real estate market offers more flexibility.
With fewer competing offers and more inventory, buyers generally have:
- More time to make decisions
- More negotiating power
- Better chances to include conditions
Well-prepared buyers are finding opportunities that were harder to access in stronger markets.
What the January 2026 GTA real estate market update means for sellers
Sellers are still finding buyers, but expectations have changed.
Homes that are priced correctly and prepared well are selling. Homes that are overpriced are sitting longer and often need price adjustments.
In today’s GTA real estate market, strategy matters more than optimism.
Interest Rates and the Canadian Economy
Interest rates have generally remained steady, inflation is near the 2% target, and employment levels are stable.
This type of economic environment often leads to cautious buyer behaviour. Historically, markets like this tend to stay quieter until confidence improves.
While no one can predict timing, these conditions often favour people who plan ahead rather than react later.
Final Thoughts on the January 2026 GTA real estate market update
The January 2026 GTA real estate market update does not point to a boom or a crash. It shows a market that is adjusting.
Buyers are more selective.
Sellers need to be realistic.
Pricing and preparation matter.
If you are thinking about buying or selling a home in the GTA, having a clear plan and local insight can make a meaningful difference.
If you’d like a more local breakdown or want to talk through your options, feel free to reach out anytime.
What to Watch in the Coming Months
As we move further into 2026, key factors to watch include changes in interest rates, buyer confidence, and how inventory levels evolve through the spring market. Even small shifts in demand or pricing can have a meaningful impact on strategy. Staying informed and reviewing local market trends regularly can help buyers and sellers make better decisions as conditions continue to adjust.
For more information about working with a real estate professional in Ontario, you can review RECO’s information guides here:
RECO Information Guide